2008 AL Over/Under - Ryan's Picks
Baltimore Orioles - 65.5 - UNDER - This team is really, really bad. They won 69 games last season with Erik Bedard and Miguel Tejada, so 100 losses certainly seems within the realm of reason. Brian Roberts is likely to get traded, Troy Patton is done for the year and Adam Loewen is having arm woes once again so this could get very ugly.
Boston Red Sox - 93.5 - OVER - Arguably the best team in baseball along with the Indians, the Red Sox are solid across the board with Manny Ramirez in a contract year and David Ortiz looking to rebound after a sub par season. This team is loaded with both youth and veterans while I wouldn't put money on a number this high, Boston definitely has the talent to win 95+ games.
Chicago White Sox - 79.5 - OVER - If this team stays healthy they could surprise and win 85 games or so. They have some young pitching in John Danks and Gavin Floyd that will be key, and the health of veteran bats like Jim Thome and Jermaine Dye will determine how far this team can go.
Cleveland Indians - 88.5 - OVER - This seems at least five games too few for the Indians who return a core that tied with the Red Sox for the best record in all of baseball (96 wins). Cleveland should win the division handily, this is my favorite bet in the American League.
Detroit Tigers - 93.5 - UNDER - Vegas really likes the Tigers. Everyone knows about the offense, but the starting pitching and bullpen just have too many question marks for this team to challenge the Indians, they should finish in the 88-win range
Kansas City Royals - 71.5 - OVER - Finally the Royals are showing some signs of life. Billy Butler and Alex Gordon are studs and a solid core of role players around them mean this team may actually have a respectable offense. The starting pitching is below average but improving and I see 74-76 wins for the Royals this year.
Los Angeles Angels - 91.5 UNDER - This team could be in major trouble if their starting pitching doesn't get healthy. Lucky for them they are in the weakest division in baseball, but with John Lackey and Kelvim Escobar both starting the season on the disabled list, it will be tough for the Angels to reach the 92- win mark. 86-88 wins seems more likely, and that will still be plenty to capture the AL West.
Minnesota Twins - 72.5 - UNDER - The health of Francisco Liriano is obviously going to be very important for the Twins this year. The team has numerous youngsters that could carry Minnesota to the 75 win range, but I just don't see that happening this year with a lack of pitching and an unproven offense.
New York Yankees - 93.5 - UNDER - This one is really tough for me to call. The Yankees are going to be good, and all the Yankee haters out there are being pretty ridiculous in my opinion. But I have a feeling the Yanks will be in that 91-92 win range and I just have a really hard time saying they will win 94 times this season.
Oakland Athletics - 73.5 - OVER - Most projection systems have the A's in the 78 win range and I tend to agree with those projections. There is a much better chance that Oakland exceeds the 78 win mark then vice versa.
Seattle Mariners - 86.5 - UNDER - Erik Bedard and Carlos Silva will improve the pitching staff, but the offense is very weak and the Mariners were lucky to win as many games (88) as they did last season. 82-83 wins seems more likely.
Tampa Bay Rays - 73.5 - OVER - Tough division, exciting young talent. That is the story with the Rays this year, but there is simply too much talent for Tampa Bay to stay down any longer. Look for a very good year with a win total in the high 70's and watch out in the coming seasons, this team will be dangerous.
Texas Rangers - 74.5 - UNDER - The Rangers are not going to be very good next year, even in the American League West. The offense needs Josh Hamilton and Ian Kinsler to stay healthy otherwise the Rangers record could get ugly.
Toronto Blue Jays - 85.5 - UNDER - Playing in the AL East really hurts the Blue Jays. They have a very solid but unspectacular squad that should win 80 games easily. Similar to the Yankees though, I just have a hard time with this one and thinking the team can break the over number.
0 comments :
Post a Comment